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2024-12-14 09:07:06
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Securities Daily: Vigorously boosting consumption is the focus of macro-policy at present. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 pointed out that it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency and expand domestic demand in all directions. At present, China is in the stage of rapid growth of service consumption. In the future, all parties should continuously optimize and expand service supply, better stimulate the endogenous kinetic energy of service consumption, and provide strong support for expanding domestic demand and stimulating the economy. Promoting consumption is the main starting point for expanding domestic demand, and boosting consumption is the focus of macroeconomic policy. We firmly believe that with the continuous efforts of various policy initiatives, consumer confidence will continue to increase and consumption potential will continue to be released.Coinbase: please note that some users may encounter higher transmission failure rate and delayed reception of BTC, LTC, ZCASH, BCH and DASH than usual.Coinbase: please note that some users may encounter higher transmission failure rate and delayed reception of BTC, LTC, ZCASH, BCH and DASH than usual.


The central government has decided to adjust the fiscal policy for next year: increase the deficit, special national debt and special debt quota. According to CCTV news broadcast, the Central Economic Work Conference was held in Beijing from December 11th to 12th. When deploying the fiscal policy for next year, the meeting said that it is necessary to implement a more active fiscal policy, improve the fiscal deficit ratio, increase the issuance of ultra-long-term special government bonds, increase the issuance and use of local government special bonds, optimize the fiscal expenditure structure, and firmly grasp the bottom line of "three guarantees" at the grassroots level. According to the above-mentioned meeting arrangements, in 2025, deficit ratio will exceed 3%, ultra-long-term special national debt will exceed 1 trillion yuan, and the amount of new special debt will also exceed 3.9 trillion yuan. This means that fiscal policy will be more active next year. This is also in line with market expectations. A number of interviewed finance and taxation experts predict that deficit ratio may be 3.5%~4% next year, the ultra-long-term special national debt is expected to be 1.5 trillion yuan to 2 trillion yuan, and the amount of special debt is expected to be around 4.5 trillion yuan. Of course, this is only an expert's prediction or suggestion, and the final actual relevant data still needs to be announced during the National People's Congress in March next year. (CBN)Coffee C dropped by over 4.3%, while new york Cocoa dropped by about 0.5%, leaving the highest level in history. In late new york on Wednesday (December 11th), ICE raw sugar futures rose by 1.33% and ICE white sugar futures rose by 0.50%. ICE coffee "C" futures fell 4.35% to 319.60 cents/pound, after reaching 348.35 cents at 19:51 on December 10th. Robusta coffee futures fell 2.50% to 5101 per ton, and reached 5694 on November 29th. New york cocoa futures fell 0.47% to US$ 10,507/ton; According to Bloomberg data, it has hit a record high for several days since it broke through the top of $8,984 on April 24 on November 22, and it reached 10,690 on December 10. London cocoa futures rose 0.30% to 8429, reaching 8500 at 17:30 Beijing time-also hitting a record high for several days in a row. ICE cotton futures rose 1.02%.Peter Orsag, CEO of Lazard Financial Advisor, said that we should be encouraged by the key figures appointed by the president.


Robin Hood, a online celebrity brokerage, managed assets of $195 billion in November. In November, the stock exchange was $147.1 billion.The consumption potential of the trade-in policy continued to be released. According to the VAT invoice data released by State Taxation Administration of The People's Republic of China on December 11th, from January to November, the retail sales revenue of household audio-visual equipment such as televisions and household appliances such as refrigerators increased by 15.9% and 18.7% respectively. The sales revenue of furniture retailing and sanitary ware retailing increased by 16.8% and 12.5% respectively. Experts said that recent data from various aspects show that the effect of the trade-in policy for consumer goods has appeared and the consumption potential has been continuously released. In the next stage, with the continuous expansion of the coverage of the "two new" policies and the recent package of economic incremental policies, the policy effect is expected to be further revealed. (CSI)Inflation data released the Fed's interest rate cut in December, but it lit up a yellow light for next year. The latest inflation data may make the Fed more cautious about the pace of interest rate cut, but not now. The latest report shows that inflation in the United States in November was in line with expectations, so investors still generally expect the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates by 25 basis points next week. However, stubborn price pressure also confirms the concern that the progress towards the Fed's 2% target may stagnate. This concern may prompt officials to be more restrained in predicting the number of interest rate cuts in 2025, while waiting for more evidence that inflation will steadily reach the target. Fed policymakers will release new forecasts and interest rate outlook at the end of the policy meeting in Washington on December 17-18. "I think they can safely cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December. The market is ready for this, "said Loretta Mester, former president of Cleveland Federal Reserve Bank. "However, they must reconsider next year, because now it seems that the progress of inflation has really stagnated."

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